There are pockets of healthcare issues, but with effort providers can generally manage.

The virus isn’t as bad as predicted. The virus largely takes care of itself, mortality is low, news starts to focus more on survival than infection.

Confusion, created by mismanagement and conflicting communications, continues, but life stumbles back toward normalcy.

The economic impact is lower and shorter. Chaos and mismanagement lead to 15-20%  peak unemployment, but the recovery is in months not years.

Due to the reduced severity, the economic stimuli help considerably and that drives the economy back into growth and strength.

The Lower range of CDC predictions prevail.