March 16 Early test of a vaccine "The first testing in humans of an experimental vaccine for the new coronavirus began on Monday, the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases...

A drug that would fight the virus could significantly reduce the impact in all scenarios. The challenge with drugs is that they are typically not effective against viruses. So far there...

Wild Cards are unknowns that will have a significant impact on the scenarios. As they resolve they can cause a shock that pushes us is one direction or another. Wild Cards we have...