Wild Cards are unknowns that will have a significant impact on the scenarios. As they resolve they can cause a shock that pushes us is one direction or another. Wild Cards we have...

Virus severity is a lot more objective than response rate, it is really all about how quickly the virus spreads and how sick people get.  So: What a less severe virus would look...

I think response efficacy is a more powerful driver of future scenarios than virus severity.  My reasoning is the emotional nature of people and the uncertainty: we won’t know how...

Introduction and instructions With these scenarios, I am trying to understand how the Covid situation can impact the economy and jobs. I am working to structure the information that comes in...

There are pockets of healthcare issues, but with effort providers can generally manage. The virus isn't as bad as predicted. The virus largely takes care of itself, mortality is low, news...

In this scenario the virus is severe and our response to the virus is insufficient. So we can't control the virus and we end up facing some of the worst-case predictions. Deaths in this...